Ligue 1 Ligue 1 January 24, 2026
Marseille

Marseille

31
FT
Lens

Lens

We predicted

1-1 21% confidence
View full match details Saturday, January 24 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 21%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.1%
8.29
0-1
11.7%
8.52
1-2
9.4%
10.62
0-2
9.2%
10.91
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.97
NO 49% · 2.03
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Marseille 25% · 4.01
Draw 25% · 3.94
Lens 50% · 2.01
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.09 Under 52% · 1.92
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37 Under 27% · 3.71
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.83 Under 74% · 1.35

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Marseille
Stat
Lens
1.03
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.56

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
0 D
2 W
Marseille
Draw
Lens
15 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
27 20 3 4 +38 63
2
Lens Lens A
28 19 2 7 +27 59
3
Lille Lille
28 15 5 8 +11 50
4
Marseille Marseille H
27 15 4 8 +19 49
5
Lyon Lyon
27 14 5 8 +12 47
6
Rennes Rennes
28 13 8 7 +7 47
7
Monaco Monaco
27 14 4 9 +9 46
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
28 12 7 9 +12 43
9
Toulouse Toulouse
28 10 7 11 +4 37
10
Lorient Lorient
27 9 10 8 -4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
28 10 6 12 -6 36
12
Angers Angers
27 9 5 13 -13 32
13
Paris FC Paris FC
27 7 10 10 -11 31
14
Le Havre Le Havre
27 6 9 12 -13 27
15
Nice Nice
28 7 6 15 -22 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
27 5 7 15 -14 22
17
Nantes Nantes
26 4 5 17 -21 17
18
Metz Metz
27 3 5 19 -35 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record