Ligue 1
February 14, 2026
Marseille
2–2
FT
Strasbourg
We predicted
1-1
25% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 14 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
25%
Team Context
Marseille
Rank#4
Played21
Points39
PPG1.86
Goal Diff19
L
D
W
W
L
Strasbourg
8#Rank
21Played
30Points
1.43PPG
7Goal Diff
L
L
W
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.4%
8.79
2-1
9.1%
10.94
1-0
8.6%
11.61
Marseille 4+
7.6%
Both Teams To Score
YES
59% · 1.71
NO
41% · 2.41
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Marseille
44% · 2.27
Draw
24% · 4.1
Strasbourg
32% · 3.17
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.79
Under 44% · 2.27
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27
Under 21% · 4.75
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.98
Under 66% · 1.5
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Marseille
L
D
W
W
L
Strasbourg
L
L
W
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Marseille
Stat
Strasbourg
1.61
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.32
#4
League Pos.
#8
39 pts
Points
30 pts
1.86
Points / Game
1.43
+19
Goal Diff.
+7
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Marseille
Draw
Strasbourg
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | +38 | 63 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | +27 | 59 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +11 | 50 |
| 4 |
Marseille
H
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +19 | 49 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 6 |
Rennes
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
A
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +12 | 43 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lorient
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -35 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.