FKF Premier League FKF Premier League March 14, 2026
Mathare United

Mathare United

41
FT
AFC Leopards

AFC Leopards

We predicted

0-1 41% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 4–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Mathare United
Rank#12
Played23
Points26
PPG1.13
Goal Diff-5
L L D W L
AFC Leopards
2#Rank
22Played
43Points
1.95PPG
16Goal Diff
W L W D W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
15.5%
6.44
1-1
13.0%
7.67
0-0
12.6%
7.94
1-0
10.6%
9.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 40% · 2.48
NO 60% · 1.67
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mathare United 19% · 5.23
Draw 36% · 2.81
AFC Leopards 45% · 2.21
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.92 Under 66% · 1.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.63 Under 39% · 2.59
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.41 Under 84% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mathare United Mathare United
L L D W L
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
W L W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Mathare United
Stat
AFC Leopards
0.84
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.23
#12
League Pos.
#2
26 pts
Points
43 pts
1.13
Points / Game
1.95
-5
Goal Diff.
+16

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
GOR Mahia GOR Mahia
26 17 6 3 +26 57
2
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards A
27 16 7 4 +18 55
3
Homeboyz Homeboyz
26 12 9 5 +14 45
4
Police Police
26 11 10 5 +6 43
5
Shabana Shabana
27 12 7 8 +1 43
6
KCB KCB
27 11 7 9 +0 40
7
Nairobi United Nairobi United
26 10 8 8 +7 38
8
Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL
27 10 8 9 +3 38
9
Bandari Bandari
27 8 14 5 +3 38
10
Tusker Tusker
26 11 4 11 -3 37
11
Mara Sugar Mara Sugar
26 6 13 7 -1 31
12
Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC
26 7 10 9 -8 31
13
Mathare United Mathare United H
26 8 6 12 -5 30
14
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
27 5 11 11 -11 26
15
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
27 6 7 14 -7 25
16
APS Bomet APS Bomet
27 5 10 12 -8 25
17
Bidco United Bidco United
27 4 10 13 -14 22
18
Sofapaka Sofapaka
27 3 7 17 -21 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record