FKF Premier League FKF Premier League February 14, 2026
Mathare United

Mathare United

31
FT
Tusker

Tusker

We predicted

0-0 62% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 3–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 62%
Team Context
Mathare United
Rank#12
Played19
Points22
PPG1.16
Goal Diff-5
L D W L L
Tusker
8#Rank
19Played
28Points
1.47PPG
-2Goal Diff
D W L L W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 3% · 30.4
NO 97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mathare United 15% · 6.61
Draw 70% · 1.43
Tusker 15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0 Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23 Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0 Under 100% · 1.0

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mathare United Mathare United
L D W L L
Tusker Tusker
D W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Mathare United
Stat
Tusker
0.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.2
#12
League Pos.
#8
22 pts
Points
28 pts
1.16
Points / Game
1.47
-5
Goal Diff.
-2

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
GOR Mahia GOR Mahia
26 17 6 3 +26 57
2
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
26 15 7 4 +16 52
3
Homeboyz Homeboyz
26 12 9 5 +14 45
4
Police Police
26 11 10 5 +6 43
5
Shabana Shabana
26 12 7 7 +4 43
6
Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL
26 10 8 8 +5 38
7
Bandari Bandari
27 8 14 5 +3 38
8
KCB KCB
26 10 7 9 -1 37
9
Tusker Tusker A
26 11 4 11 -3 37
10
Nairobi United Nairobi United
25 9 8 8 +4 35
11
Mara Sugar Mara Sugar
26 6 13 7 -1 31
12
Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC
26 7 10 9 -8 31
13
Mathare United Mathare United H
26 8 6 12 -5 30
14
Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks
27 5 11 11 -11 26
15
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
27 6 7 14 -7 25
16
APS Bomet APS Bomet
27 5 10 12 -8 25
17
Bidco United Bidco United
26 4 10 12 -13 22
18
Sofapaka Sofapaka
27 3 7 17 -21 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record