Ligi kuu Bara Ligi kuu Bara April 3, 2026
Mbeya City

Mbeya City

32
FT
KMC

KMC

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Mbeya City
Rank#14
Played15
Points13
PPG0.87
Goal Diff-6
L W D D L
KMC
16#Rank
16Played
8Points
0.5PPG
-20Goal Diff
L L L W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
18.2%
5.5
2-0
13.3%
7.5
0-0
12.4%
8.06
1-1
11.3%
8.84
Both Teams To Score
YES 36% · 2.81
NO 64% · 1.55
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mbeya City 53% · 1.9
Draw 34% · 2.95
KMC 13% · 7.44
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.89 Under 65% · 1.53
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.62 Under 38% · 2.61
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.32 Under 84% · 1.19

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mbeya City Mbeya City
L W D D L
KMC KMC
L L L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Mbeya City
Stat
KMC
1.47
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.62
#14
League Pos.
#16
13 pts
Points
8 pts
0.87
Points / Game
0.5
-6
Goal Diff.
-20

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
0 D
2 W
Mbeya City
Draw
KMC
14 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Young Africans Young Africans
17 12 5 0 +32 41
2
Simba Simba
15 10 4 1 +20 34
3
Azam Azam
16 8 8 0 +18 32
4
JKT Tanzania JKT Tanzania
18 7 8 3 +3 29
5
Pamba Jiji Pamba Jiji
17 6 8 3 +5 26
6
Singida Black Stars Singida Black Stars
16 7 4 5 +2 25
7
Dodoma Jiji Dodoma Jiji
18 6 6 6 -1 24
8
Namungo Namungo
18 5 7 6 -3 22
9
Mtibwa Sugar Mtibwa Sugar
17 5 7 5 -4 22
10
Tabora United Tabora United
16 5 5 6 -1 20
11
Mashujaa Mashujaa
18 4 8 6 -7 20
12
Mbeya City Mbeya City H
17 4 4 9 -8 16
13
Fountain Gate Fountain Gate
17 4 4 9 -14 16
14
Coastal Union Coastal Union
17 3 6 8 -8 15
15
Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Prisons
18 3 4 11 -13 13
16
KMC KMC A
17 2 2 13 -21 8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record