A-League A-League March 15, 2026
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory

41
FT
Macarthur

Macarthur

We predicted

Melbourne Victory 4+ 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Melbourne Victory 4+
|
Actual 4–1

Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Melbourne Victory 4+ goals was spot on.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Melbourne Victory
Rank#5
Played20
Points29
PPG1.45
Goal Diff4
D D W D W
Macarthur
7#Rank
20Played
25Points
1.25PPG
-6Goal Diff
L L L D D
Most Likely Scores
Melbourne Victory 4+
11.7%
1-1
10.5%
9.56
2-1
9.9%
10.14
1-0
9.1%
10.98
Both Teams To Score
YES 58% · 1.73
NO 42% · 2.37
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Melbourne Victory 51% · 1.97
Draw 32% · 3.17
Macarthur 18% · 5.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72 Under 42% · 2.4
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.24 Under 19% · 5.13
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.79 Under 64% · 1.56

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
D D W D W
Macarthur Macarthur
L L L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Melbourne Victory
Stat
Macarthur
1.89
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.15
#5
League Pos.
#7
29 pts
Points
25 pts
1.45
Points / Game
1.25
+4
Goal Diff.
-6

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
1 W
Melbourne Victory
Draw
Macarthur
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
23 14 1 8 +12 43
2
Auckland Auckland
23 11 7 5 +14 40
3
Adelaide United Adelaide United
23 10 6 7 +7 36
4
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory H
23 10 5 8 +9 35
5
Sydney Sydney
23 10 4 9 +6 34
6
Macarthur Macarthur A
23 8 7 8 -7 31
7
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
23 8 6 9 -7 30
8
Melbourne City Melbourne City
22 7 8 7 -3 29
9
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
22 7 7 8 -3 28
10
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
23 6 7 10 -7 25
11
Perth Glory Perth Glory
23 6 6 11 -10 24
12
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers
23 5 6 12 -11 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record