Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 March 13, 2026
Mérida AD

Mérida AD

14
FT
Guadalajara

Guadalajara

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 13 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–4

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Mérida AD
Rank#6
Played27
Points40
PPG1.48
Goal Diff2
D D W L W
Guadalajara
18#Rank
27Played
28Points
1.04PPG
-14Goal Diff
W D W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.1%
8.26
1-1
11.2%
8.96
2-0
10.6%
9.43
Mérida AD 4+
9.8%
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.01
NO 50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mérida AD 52% · 1.92
Draw 32% · 3.12
Guadalajara 16% · 6.33
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 2.0 Under 50% · 2.0
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34 Under 25% · 3.94
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.59 Under 72% · 1.39

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mérida AD Mérida AD
D D W L W
Guadalajara Guadalajara
W D W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Mérida AD
Stat
Guadalajara
1.75
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.92
#6
League Pos.
#18
40 pts
Points
28 pts
1.48
Points / Game
1.04
+2
Goal Diff.
-14

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
1 W
Mérida AD
Draw
Guadalajara
7 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Tenerife Tenerife
31 19 8 4 +33 65
2
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
31 15 9 7 +5 54
3
Ponferradina Ponferradina
31 13 8 10 +10 47
4
Barakaldo Barakaldo
31 12 11 8 +8 47
5
Pontevedra Pontevedra
30 11 13 6 +13 46
6
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
31 13 7 11 +5 46
7
Zamora Zamora
31 12 10 9 +5 46
8
Lugo Lugo
31 11 12 8 +0 45
9
Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca
31 12 8 11 +2 44
10
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
31 12 8 11 -2 44
11
Mérida AD Mérida AD H
31 12 8 11 -3 44
12
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo
30 12 5 13 -5 41
14
Real Avilés Real Avilés
31 10 7 14 -8 37
15
CF Talavera CF Talavera
31 9 8 14 -8 35
16
Guadalajara Guadalajara A
31 9 8 14 -11 35
17
Ourense CF Ourense CF
31 8 10 13 -3 34
18
Cacereño Cacereño
31 6 13 12 -12 31
19
Osasuna II Osasuna II
31 7 9 15 -14 30
20
Arenteiro Arenteiro
31 6 8 17 -14 26

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record