National League - North National League - North April 3, 2026
Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town

11
FT
Oxford City

Oxford City

We predicted

Merthyr Town 4+ 42% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Merthyr Town 4+
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
Merthyr Town
Rank#5
Played40
Points66
PPG1.65
Goal Diff14
L L L W L
Oxford City
19#Rank
40Played
45Points
1.13PPG
-9Goal Diff
W W W D L
Most Likely Scores
Merthyr Town 4+
15.7%
2-1
9.4%
10.59
1-1
8.8%
11.31
2-0
6.9%
14.58
Both Teams To Score
YES 66% · 1.52
NO 34% · 2.92
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Merthyr Town 51% · 1.97
Draw 31% · 3.28
Oxford City 19% · 5.35
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47 Under 32% · 3.11
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.16 Under 14% · 7.36
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.17 Under 54% · 1.86

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Merthyr Town Merthyr Town
L L L W L
Oxford City Oxford City
W W W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Merthyr Town
Stat
Oxford City
2.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.37
#5
League Pos.
#19
66 pts
Points
45 pts
1.65
Points / Game
1.13
+14
Goal Diff.
-9

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Merthyr Town
Draw
Oxford City
6 total goals
2 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record