Ligue 1 Ligue 1 February 15, 2026
Metz

Metz

13
FT
Auxerre

Auxerre

We predicted

1-1 24% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 24%
Team Context
Metz
Rank#18
Played21
Points13
PPG0.62
Goal Diff-25
D L L L D
Auxerre
16#Rank
21Played
14Points
0.67PPG
-15Goal Diff
D D L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.85
1-0
11.7%
8.53
0-1
9.2%
10.83
2-1
8.8%
11.38
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.02
NO 50% · 1.98
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Metz 44% · 2.3
Draw 27% · 3.72
Auxerre 30% · 3.38
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.24 Under 55% · 1.81
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.42 Under 29% · 3.39
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.26 Under 77% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Metz Metz
D L L L D
Auxerre Auxerre
D D L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Metz
Stat
Auxerre
1.38
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.09
#18
League Pos.
#16
13 pts
Points
14 pts
0.62
Points / Game
0.67
-25
Goal Diff.
-15

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
1 D
4 W
Metz
Draw
Auxerre
17 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
27 20 3 4 +38 63
2
Lens Lens
28 19 2 7 +27 59
3
Lille Lille
28 15 5 8 +11 50
4
Marseille Marseille
27 15 4 8 +19 49
5
Lyon Lyon
27 14 5 8 +12 47
6
Rennes Rennes
28 13 8 7 +7 47
7
Monaco Monaco
27 14 4 9 +9 46
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
28 12 7 9 +12 43
9
Toulouse Toulouse
28 10 7 11 +4 37
10
Lorient Lorient
27 9 10 8 -4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
28 10 6 12 -6 36
12
Angers Angers
27 9 5 13 -13 32
13
Paris FC Paris FC
27 7 10 10 -11 31
14
Le Havre Le Havre
27 6 9 12 -13 27
15
Nice Nice
28 7 6 15 -22 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre A
27 5 7 15 -14 22
17
Nantes Nantes
26 4 5 17 -21 17
18
Metz Metz H
27 3 5 19 -35 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record