Ligue 1 Ligue 1 March 15, 2026
Metz

Metz

34
FT
Toulouse

Toulouse

We predicted

0-1 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 3–4

We predicted the correct result direction (away win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Metz
Rank#18
Played25
Points13
PPG0.52
Goal Diff-34
L L L L D
Toulouse
12#Rank
25Played
31Points
1.24PPG
4Goal Diff
L L D L L
Most Likely Scores
0-1
14.0%
7.17
1-1
12.8%
7.8
0-0
10.3%
9.71
1-0
9.5%
10.56
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.24
NO 55% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Metz 19% · 5.19
Draw 35% · 2.89
Toulouse 46% · 2.17
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.52 Under 60% · 1.66
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.51 Under 34% · 2.97
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.13 Under 81% · 1.24

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Metz Metz
L L L L D
Toulouse Toulouse
L L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Metz
Stat
Toulouse
0.92
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.35
#18
League Pos.
#12
13 pts
Points
31 pts
0.52
Points / Game
1.24
-34
Goal Diff.
+4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
1 D
4 W
Metz
Draw
Toulouse
19 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
27 20 3 4 +38 63
2
Lens Lens
28 19 2 7 +27 59
3
Lille Lille
28 15 5 8 +11 50
4
Marseille Marseille
27 15 4 8 +19 49
5
Lyon Lyon
27 14 5 8 +12 47
6
Rennes Rennes
28 13 8 7 +7 47
7
Monaco Monaco
27 14 4 9 +9 46
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
28 12 7 9 +12 43
9
Toulouse Toulouse A
28 10 7 11 +4 37
10
Lorient Lorient
27 9 10 8 -4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
28 10 6 12 -6 36
12
Angers Angers
27 9 5 13 -13 32
13
Paris FC Paris FC
27 7 10 10 -11 31
14
Le Havre Le Havre
27 6 9 12 -13 27
15
Nice Nice
28 7 6 15 -22 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
27 5 7 15 -14 22
17
Nantes Nantes
26 4 5 17 -21 17
18
Metz Metz H
27 3 5 19 -35 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record