Championship Championship February 21, 2026
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

00
FT
Oxford United

Oxford United

We predicted

1-0 34% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Middlesbrough
Rank#2
Played32
Points61
PPG1.91
Goal Diff17
L W W W W
Oxford United
23#Rank
32Played
28Points
0.88PPG
-16Goal Diff
L D L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.2%
6.18
0-0
13.0%
7.67
1-1
12.9%
7.76
0-1
10.4%
9.63
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.56
NO 61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Middlesbrough 47% · 2.14
Draw 29% · 3.39
Oxford United 24% · 4.2
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.0 Under 67% · 1.5
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66 Under 40% · 2.53
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.69 Under 85% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
L W W W W
Oxford United Oxford United
L D L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Middlesbrough
Stat
Oxford United
1.24
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.8
#2
League Pos.
#23
61 pts
Points
28 pts
1.91
Points / Game
0.88
+17
Goal Diff.
-16

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
42 25 10 7 +42 85
2
Ipswich Ipswich
40 21 12 7 +31 75
3
Millwall Millwall
42 21 10 11 +9 73
4
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough H
42 20 12 10 +20 72
5
Southampton Southampton
41 19 12 10 +20 69
6
Hull City Hull City
42 20 8 14 +4 68
7
Wrexham Wrexham
41 17 13 11 +5 64
8
Derby Derby
42 18 9 15 +8 63
9
Norwich Norwich
42 17 7 18 +5 58
10
Bristol City Bristol City
42 16 10 16 +1 58
11
QPR QPR
42 16 10 16 -5 58
12
Watford Watford
42 14 15 13 +1 57
13
Preston Preston
42 14 15 13 -3 57
14
Swansea Swansea
42 16 9 17 -4 57
15
Stoke City Stoke City
42 15 10 17 +3 55
16
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
42 16 6 20 +0 54
17
Birmingham Birmingham
41 14 11 16 -3 53
18
Charlton Charlton
42 12 13 17 -12 49
19
Blackburn Blackburn
42 12 12 18 -12 48
20
West Brom West Brom
42 11 13 18 -14 46
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
41 11 12 18 -16 45
22
Oxford United Oxford United A
42 10 14 18 -13 44
23
Leicester Leicester
42 11 14 17 -10 41
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
42 1 11 30 -57 -4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record