Championship
April 11, 2026
Middlesbrough
14:00
VS
Portsmouth
Predicted score
1-0
45% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
45%
Team Context
Middlesbrough
Rank#2
Played36
Points69
PPG1.92
Goal Diff23
W
W
D
D
L
Portsmouth
19#Rank
35Played
40Points
1.14PPG
-10Goal Diff
D
L
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
19.9%
5.04
0-0
14.9%
6.7
2-0
13.2%
7.58
1-1
11.4%
8.8
Both Teams To Score
YES
32% · 3.12
NO
68% · 1.47
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Middlesbrough
47% · 2.12
Draw
31% · 3.21
Portsmouth
22% · 4.63
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.37
Under 70% · 1.42
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76
Under 43% · 2.31
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
87%
Over 13% · 7.98
Under 87% · 1.14
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Middlesbrough
W
W
D
D
L
Portsmouth
D
L
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Middlesbrough
Stat
Portsmouth
1.33
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.57
#2
League Pos.
#19
69 pts
Points
40 pts
1.92
Points / Game
1.14
+23
Goal Diff.
-10
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Middlesbrough
Draw
Portsmouth
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
40 | 25 | 8 | 7 | +42 | 83 |
| 2 |
Millwall
|
40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | +10 | 72 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
H
|
40 | 20 | 11 | 9 | +21 | 71 |
| 4 |
Ipswich
|
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +28 | 69 |
| 5 |
Hull City
|
40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | +5 | 67 |
| 6 |
Wrexham
|
40 | 17 | 13 | 10 | +9 | 64 |
| 7 |
Southampton
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +15 | 63 |
| 8 |
Derby
|
40 | 17 | 9 | 14 | +7 | 60 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
40 | 14 | 14 | 12 | +3 | 56 |
| 10 |
QPR
|
40 | 16 | 8 | 16 | -5 | 56 |
| 11 |
Norwich
|
40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | +6 | 55 |
| 12 |
Stoke City
|
40 | 15 | 9 | 16 | +5 | 54 |
| 13 |
Bristol City
|
40 | 15 | 9 | 16 | +0 | 54 |
| 14 |
Birmingham
|
40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | -2 | 53 |
| 15 |
Preston
|
40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | -4 | 53 |
| 16 |
Swansea
|
40 | 15 | 8 | 17 | -5 | 53 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd
|
40 | 15 | 6 | 19 | +0 | 51 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | -11 | 48 |
| 19 |
Blackburn
|
40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | -12 | 46 |
| 20 |
West Brom
|
40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | -14 | 44 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth
A
|
39 | 10 | 11 | 18 | -17 | 41 |
| 22 |
Leicester
|
40 | 11 | 13 | 16 | -9 | 40 |
| 23 |
Oxford United
|
40 | 9 | 13 | 18 | -15 | 40 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
40 | 1 | 9 | 30 | -57 | -6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.