Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 March 28, 2026
Mijas Las Lagunas

Mijas Las Lagunas

10
FT
Marbelli

Marbelli

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Correct prediction!

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–0

Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Mijas Las Lagunas
Rank#2
Played27
Points51
PPG1.89
Goal Diff14
L L D L W
Marbelli
6#Rank
26Played
40Points
1.54PPG
7Goal Diff
D W L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.3%
5.79
0-0
12.8%
7.79
1-1
12.2%
8.18
2-0
11.6%
8.61
Both Teams To Score
YES 38% · 2.67
NO 62% · 1.6
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mijas Las Lagunas 35% · 2.84
Draw 35% · 2.86
Marbelli 30% · 3.35
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.96 Under 66% · 1.51
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.64 Under 39% · 2.55
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.57 Under 85% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mijas Las Lagunas Mijas Las Lagunas
L L D L W
Marbelli Marbelli
D W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Mijas Las Lagunas
Stat
Marbelli
1.35
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.71
#2
League Pos.
#6
51 pts
Points
40 pts
1.89
Points / Game
1.54
+14
Goal Diff.
+7

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Motril Motril
29 15 10 4 +23 55
2
Mijas Las Lagunas Mijas Las Lagunas H
29 16 7 6 +15 55
3
Arenas Armilla Arenas Armilla
29 14 8 7 +11 50
4
Torre del Mar Torre del Mar
29 13 11 5 +12 50
5
Churriana Vega Churriana Vega
29 12 8 9 -7 44
6
Marbelli Marbelli A
29 11 8 10 +5 41
7
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
29 10 11 8 -1 41
8
Atlético Porcuna Atlético Porcuna
29 12 4 13 +5 40
9
Huétor Vega Huétor Vega
29 11 7 11 +1 40
10
Granada II Granada II
29 9 11 9 +2 38
11
UD San Pedro UD San Pedro
29 10 8 11 -2 38
12
UD Melilla II UD Melilla II
29 8 11 10 +0 35
13
Alhaurino Alhaurino
29 8 9 12 -6 33
14
Martos Martos
29 8 9 12 -7 33
15
Mancha Real Mancha Real
29 8 8 13 -7 32
16
Huétor Tájar Huétor Tájar
29 8 10 12 -4 31
17
Torreperogil Torreperogil
29 7 6 16 -17 27
18
El Palo El Palo
29 5 8 16 -23 23

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record