Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 April 3, 2026
Mirandés II

Mirandés II

23
FT
UD Santa Marta

UD Santa Marta

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Mirandés II
Rank#9
Played28
Points40
PPG1.43
Goal Diff9
L D L D W
UD Santa Marta
5#Rank
28Played
52Points
1.86PPG
20Goal Diff
W L L W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.5%
6.88
1-1
13.3%
7.54
0-0
12.2%
8.2
0-1
11.1%
8.98
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.4
NO 58% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mirandés II 29% · 3.4
Draw 36% · 2.8
UD Santa Marta 35% · 2.87
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.85 Under 65% · 1.54
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61 Under 38% · 2.64
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.18 Under 84% · 1.19

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Mirandés II Mirandés II
L D L D W
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta
W L L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Mirandés II
Stat
UD Santa Marta
1.19
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.91
#9
League Pos.
#5
40 pts
Points
52 pts
1.43
Points / Game
1.86
+9
Goal Diff.
+20

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlético Tordesillas Atlético Tordesillas
29 21 6 2 +37 69
2
Guijuelo Guijuelo
29 18 6 5 +19 60
3
Cristo Atlético Cristo Atlético
29 17 5 7 +21 56
4
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta A
29 17 4 8 +21 55
5
Palencia CF Palencia CF
28 17 4 7 +18 55
6
Atlético Mansillés Atlético Mansillés
28 11 11 6 +0 44
7
Almazán Almazán
28 10 11 7 +8 41
8
La Virgen del Camino La Virgen del Camino
28 11 8 9 -2 41
9
Mirandés II Mirandés II H
29 11 7 11 +8 40
10
Colegios Diocesanos Colegios Diocesanos
28 9 6 13 -13 33
11
Villaralbo Villaralbo
29 8 8 13 -9 32
12
Cultural Leonesa II Cultural Leonesa II
28 9 5 14 -10 32
13
Arandina Arandina
29 7 8 14 -15 29
14
Bembibre Bembibre
28 7 7 14 -12 28
15
Mojados Mojados
29 5 9 15 -24 24
16
Numancia II Numancia II
28 6 5 17 -18 23
17
Unionistas II Unionistas II
29 3 13 13 -12 22
18
Becerril Campos Becerril Campos
29 5 7 17 -17 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record