Serie B Serie B March 13, 2026
Modena

Modena

30
FT
Spezia

Spezia

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 13 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Modena
Rank#6
Played29
Points44
PPG1.52
Goal Diff13
D L L W W
Spezia
17#Rank
29Played
29Points
1.0PPG
-10Goal Diff
W D L W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.3%
7.52
1-1
13.0%
7.67
0-0
10.2%
9.78
0-1
10.0%
9.98
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.2
NO 55% · 1.83
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Modena 44% · 2.26
Draw 35% · 2.87
Spezia 21% · 4.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.51 Under 60% · 1.66
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.5 Under 34% · 2.98
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.09 Under 80% · 1.24

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Modena Modena
D L L W W
Spezia Spezia
W D L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Modena
Stat
Spezia
1.3
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#6
League Pos.
#17
44 pts
Points
29 pts
1.52
Points / Game
1.0
+13
Goal Diff.
-10

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
2 D
1 W
Modena
Draw
Spezia
8 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Venezia Venezia
32 20 8 4 +37 68
2
Frosinone Frosinone
32 18 11 3 +30 65
3
Monza Monza
32 19 8 5 +24 65
4
Palermo Palermo
32 17 10 5 +25 61
5
Catanzaro Catanzaro
31 14 10 7 +11 52
6
Modena Modena H
31 14 8 9 +17 50
7
Juve Stabia Juve Stabia
32 10 15 7 +0 45
8
Cesena Cesena
32 12 7 13 -6 43
9
Carrarese Carrarese
32 9 12 11 -1 39
10
Avellino Avellino
32 10 9 13 -14 39
11
Sudtirol Sudtirol
32 8 14 10 -1 38
12
Empoli Empoli
32 8 12 12 -4 36
13
Padova Padova
32 8 10 14 -11 34
14
Mantova Mantova
32 9 7 16 -12 34
15
Sampdoria Sampdoria
32 8 10 14 -12 34
16
Virtus Entella Virtus Entella
32 8 10 14 -14 34
17
Bari Bari
32 7 10 15 -20 31
18
Spezia Spezia A
32 7 9 16 -15 30
19
Reggiana Reggiana
32 7 9 16 -19 30
20
Pescara Pescara
32 6 11 15 -15 29

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record