Ligue 1
April 5, 2026
Monaco
18:45
VS
Marseille
Predicted score
Monaco 4+
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Monaco
Rank#7
Played25
Points40
PPG1.6
Goal Diff6
W
W
W
W
D
Marseille
3#Rank
25Played
46Points
1.84PPG
19Goal Diff
W
W
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Monaco 4+
12.7%
1-1
9.8%
10.16
2-1
9.6%
10.42
1-0
7.5%
13.32
Both Teams To Score
YES
63% · 1.6
NO
37% · 2.67
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Monaco
49% · 2.03
Draw
31% · 3.2
Marseille
19% · 5.15
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.58
Under 37% · 2.71
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.2
Under 16% · 6.1
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.45
Under 59% · 1.69
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Monaco
W
W
W
W
D
Marseille
W
W
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Monaco
Stat
Marseille
1.95
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.31
#7
League Pos.
#3
40 pts
Points
46 pts
1.6
Points / Game
1.84
+6
Goal Diff.
+19
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Monaco
Draw
Marseille
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | +38 | 63 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | +27 | 59 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +11 | 50 |
| 4 |
Marseille
A
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +19 | 49 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 6 |
Rennes
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 7 |
Monaco
H
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +12 | 43 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lorient
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -35 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.