Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 March 22, 2026
Montañesa

Montañesa

31
FT
Lleida Esportiu

Lleida Esportiu

We predicted

1-0 42% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 42%
Team Context
Montañesa
Rank#9
Played26
Points35
PPG1.35
Goal Diff-2
L W W W D
Lleida Esportiu
18#Rank
26Played
22Points
0.85PPG
-17Goal Diff
D L D L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.9%
5.92
0-0
12.9%
7.73
1-1
12.5%
8.0
2-0
11.0%
9.07
Both Teams To Score
YES 38% · 2.62
NO 62% · 1.62
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Montañesa 48% · 2.08
Draw 35% · 2.83
Lleida Esportiu 17% · 5.98
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.98 Under 66% · 1.51
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.65 Under 39% · 2.54
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.62 Under 85% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Montañesa Montañesa
L W W W D
Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu
D L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Montañesa
Stat
Lleida Esportiu
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.74
#9
League Pos.
#18
35 pts
Points
22 pts
1.35
Points / Game
0.85
-2
Goal Diff.
-17

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Badalona Badalona
29 15 12 2 +21 57
2
Manresa Manresa
29 16 9 4 +19 57
3
Cornellà Cornellà
29 15 7 7 +13 52
4
L'Hospitalet L'Hospitalet
29 14 5 10 +13 47
5
Vilanova Vilanova
29 12 10 7 +9 46
6
Grama Grama
29 10 11 8 +8 41
7
Tona Tona
29 9 13 7 +5 40
8
L'Escala L'Escala
28 10 10 8 +2 40
9
Montañesa Montañesa H
29 10 9 10 -1 39
10
Peralada Peralada
29 9 11 9 +3 38
11
Europa II Europa II
29 9 9 11 -7 36
12
Mollerussa Mollerussa
29 8 10 11 -6 34
13
San Cristóbal San Cristóbal
28 7 11 10 -6 32
14
Can Vidalet Can Vidalet
29 7 8 14 -13 29
15
Cerdanyola del Vallès Cerdanyola del Vallès
29 5 13 11 -12 28
16
Vilassar Mar Vilassar Mar
29 6 10 13 -7 28
17
Vic Vic
29 5 10 14 -20 25
18
Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu A
29 4 10 15 -21 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record