Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
April 5, 2026
Montehermoso
10:00
VS
Atlético Pueblonuevo
Predicted score
1-1
35% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Montehermoso
Rank#18
Played28
Points20
PPG0.71
Goal Diff-31
L
L
D
W
L
Atlético Pueblonuevo
16#Rank
28Played
23Points
0.82PPG
-27Goal Diff
W
W
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.6%
7.94
1-0
12.3%
8.15
2-1
9.0%
11.11
0-1
8.8%
11.33
Both Teams To Score
YES
49% · 2.05
NO
51% · 1.95
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Montehermoso
32% · 3.15
Draw
34% · 2.94
Atlético Pueblonuevo
34% · 2.92
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.25
Under 56% · 1.8
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.42
Under 30% · 3.37
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.31
Under 77% · 1.3
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Montehermoso
L
L
D
W
L
Atlético Pueblonuevo
W
W
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Montehermoso
Stat
Atlético Pueblonuevo
1.43
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#18
League Pos.
#16
20 pts
Points
23 pts
0.71
Points / Game
0.82
-31
Goal Diff.
-27
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
Montehermoso
Draw
Atlético Pueblonuevo
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Don Benito
|
28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | +38 | 58 |
| 2 |
Moralo
|
29 | 16 | 9 | 5 | +21 | 56 |
| 3 |
Badajoz
|
28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | +18 | 53 |
| 4 |
Azuaga
|
28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | +18 | 52 |
| 5 |
Jaraíz
|
28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | +22 | 51 |
| 6 |
Cabeza Buey
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +13 | 48 |
| 7 |
Villafranca
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 45 |
| 8 |
Villanovense
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Jerez
|
29 | 7 | 17 | 5 | +9 | 38 |
| 10 |
Montijo
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | +1 | 36 |
| 11 |
Llerenense
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Santa Amalia
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -16 | 33 |
| 13 |
Puebla Calzada
|
29 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 |
Gévora
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -19 | 26 |
| 15 |
Diocesano
|
28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Atlético Pueblonuevo
A
|
28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -27 | 23 |
| 17 |
Calamonte
|
28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 20 |
| 18 |
Montehermoso
H
|
28 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -31 | 20 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.