Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 22, 2026
Montehermoso

Montehermoso

12
FT
Moralo

Moralo

We predicted

1-1 41% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Montehermoso
Rank#17
Played26
Points19
PPG0.73
Goal Diff-26
D W L W L
Moralo
2#Rank
26Played
50Points
1.92PPG
19Goal Diff
W W W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.3%
8.12
0-1
10.4%
9.61
1-2
9.0%
11.16
1-0
8.5%
11.79
Both Teams To Score
YES 53% · 1.88
NO 47% · 2.13
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Montehermoso 18% · 5.41
Draw 36% · 2.81
Moralo 46% · 2.17
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.04 Under 51% · 1.96
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35 Under 26% · 3.84
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.68 Under 73% · 1.37

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Montehermoso Montehermoso
D W L W L
Moralo Moralo
W W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Montehermoso
Stat
Moralo
1.18
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.45
#17
League Pos.
#2
19 pts
Points
50 pts
0.73
Points / Game
1.92
-26
Goal Diff.
+19

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
28 17 7 4 +38 58
2
Moralo Moralo A
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
28 17 5 6 +18 53
4
Azuaga Azuaga
28 15 7 6 +18 52
5
Jaraíz Jaraíz
28 14 9 5 +22 51
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
28 11 8 9 +3 41
9
Jerez Jerez
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
28 10 6 12 +1 36
11
Llerenense Llerenense
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
28 5 9 14 -22 24
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
28 6 5 17 -27 23
17
Calamonte Calamonte
28 3 11 14 -14 20
18
Montehermoso Montehermoso H
28 4 8 17 -31 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record