Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 28, 2026
Montijo

Montijo

40
FT
Montehermoso

Montehermoso

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 4–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Montijo
Rank#11
Played27
Points33
PPG1.22
Goal Diff-3
L D D W D
Montehermoso
17#Rank
27Played
20Points
0.74PPG
-27Goal Diff
L D W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.3%
7.54
2-0
11.6%
8.64
1-1
11.1%
9.04
Montijo 4+
9.7%
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.14
NO 53% · 1.88
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Montijo 53% · 1.87
Draw 32% · 3.12
Montehermoso 15% · 6.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.1 Under 52% · 1.91
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37 Under 27% · 3.68
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.88 Under 74% · 1.35

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Montijo Montijo
L D D W D
Montehermoso Montehermoso
L D W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Montijo
Stat
Montehermoso
1.75
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.83
#11
League Pos.
#17
33 pts
Points
20 pts
1.22
Points / Game
0.74
-3
Goal Diff.
-27

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
28 17 7 4 +38 58
2
Moralo Moralo
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
28 17 5 6 +18 53
4
Azuaga Azuaga
28 15 7 6 +18 52
5
Jaraíz Jaraíz
28 14 9 5 +22 51
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
28 11 8 9 +3 41
9
Jerez Jerez
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo H
28 10 6 12 +1 36
11
Llerenense Llerenense
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
28 5 9 14 -22 24
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
28 6 5 17 -27 23
17
Calamonte Calamonte
28 3 11 14 -14 20
18
Montehermoso Montehermoso A
28 4 8 17 -31 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record