Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 15, 2026
Moralo

Moralo

30
FT
Villanovense

Villanovense

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Moralo
Rank#2
Played25
Points47
PPG1.88
Goal Diff16
W W W W D
Villanovense
7#Rank
25Played
38Points
1.52PPG
6Goal Diff
W D L W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.3%
8.16
1-1
11.9%
8.42
2-0
9.8%
10.17
2-1
9.5%
10.49
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.02
NO 50% · 1.98
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Moralo 49% · 2.03
Draw 33% · 3.03
Villanovense 18% · 5.64
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.11 Under 53% · 1.9
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.38 Under 27% · 3.66
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.89 Under 74% · 1.35

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Moralo Moralo
W W W W D
Villanovense Villanovense
W D L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Moralo
Stat
Villanovense
1.6
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.97
#2
League Pos.
#7
47 pts
Points
38 pts
1.88
Points / Game
1.52
+16
Goal Diff.
+6

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
29 18 7 4 +39 61
2
Moralo Moralo H
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
29 18 5 6 +19 56
4
Jaraíz Jaraíz
29 14 10 5 +22 52
5
Azuaga Azuaga
29 15 7 7 +17 52
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense A
29 11 8 10 +2 41
9
Jerez Jerez
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
29 10 7 12 +1 37
11
Llerenense Llerenense
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
29 5 10 14 -22 25
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
29 6 5 18 -28 23
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso
29 5 8 17 -30 22
18
Calamonte Calamonte
29 3 12 14 -14 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record