National League
April 6, 2026
Morecambe
14:00
VS
Carlisle
Predicted score
Carlisle 4+
38% confidence
View full match details
Monday, April 6 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Morecambe
Rank#22
Played42
Points37
PPG0.88
Goal Diff-25
W
L
L
L
D
Carlisle
3#Rank
42Played
85Points
2.02PPG
29Goal Diff
D
W
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Carlisle 4+
10.8%
1-1
9.6%
10.47
1-2
8.8%
11.34
2-1
7.5%
13.33
Both Teams To Score
YES
67% · 1.5
NO
33% · 3.0
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Morecambe
24% · 4.19
Draw
31% · 3.18
Carlisle
45% · 2.24
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.51
Under 34% · 2.96
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
85%
Over 85% · 1.17
Under 15% · 6.89
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.25
Under 56% · 1.8
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Morecambe
W
L
L
L
D
Carlisle
D
W
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Morecambe
Stat
Carlisle
1.57
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.85
#22
League Pos.
#3
37 pts
Points
85 pts
0.88
Points / Game
2.02
-25
Goal Diff.
+29
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Morecambe
Draw
Carlisle
7
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
York
|
42 | 30 | 8 | 4 | +68 | 98 |
| 2 |
Rochdale
|
42 | 31 | 5 | 6 | +45 | 98 |
| 3 |
Carlisle
A
|
42 | 26 | 7 | 9 | +29 | 85 |
| 4 |
Boreham Wood
|
42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | +33 | 81 |
| 5 |
Scunthorpe
|
42 | 22 | 12 | 8 | +17 | 78 |
| 6 |
Forest Green
|
42 | 21 | 11 | 10 | +24 | 74 |
| 7 |
Southend
|
40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | +27 | 68 |
| 8 |
FC Halifax Town
|
42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | +6 | 65 |
| 9 |
Hartlepool
|
41 | 16 | 13 | 12 | -2 | 61 |
| 10 |
Tamworth
|
42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | -11 | 57 |
| 11 |
Woking
|
41 | 14 | 13 | 14 | +9 | 55 |
| 12 |
Wealdstone
|
41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | -8 | 51 |
| 13 |
Yeovil Town
|
42 | 15 | 5 | 22 | -13 | 50 |
| 14 |
Solihull Moors
|
41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | -4 | 48 |
| 15 |
Boston United
|
41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | -10 | 48 |
| 16 |
Altrincham
|
42 | 14 | 6 | 22 | -13 | 48 |
| 17 |
Sutton Utd
|
42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | -12 | 47 |
| 18 |
Aldershot Town
|
41 | 13 | 7 | 21 | -9 | 46 |
| 19 |
Gateshead
|
42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | -34 | 44 |
| 20 |
Eastleigh
|
42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | -24 | 43 |
| 21 |
Brackley Town
|
42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -32 | 38 |
| 22 |
Morecambe
H
|
42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | -25 | 37 |
| 23 |
Braintree
|
42 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -31 | 35 |
| 24 |
Truro City
|
42 | 7 | 9 | 26 | -30 | 30 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.