National League National League March 25, 2026
Morecambe

Morecambe

23
FT
Hartlepool

Hartlepool

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 25 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Morecambe
Rank#22
Played39
Points34
PPG0.87
Goal Diff-24
L D W W L
Hartlepool
9#Rank
38Played
57Points
1.5PPG
4Goal Diff
W W L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.5%
8.73
2-1
8.6%
11.63
1-2
8.2%
12.2
1-0
8.0%
12.5
Both Teams To Score
YES 59% · 1.69
NO 41% · 2.45
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Morecambe 42% · 2.41
Draw 33% · 3.05
Hartlepool 26% · 3.89
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.78 Under 44% · 2.28
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27 Under 21% · 4.77
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.97 Under 66% · 1.51

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Morecambe Morecambe
L D W W L
Hartlepool Hartlepool
W W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Morecambe
Stat
Hartlepool
1.5
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.43
#22
League Pos.
#9
34 pts
Points
57 pts
0.87
Points / Game
1.5
-24
Goal Diff.
+4

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
York York
42 30 8 4 +68 98
2
Rochdale Rochdale
42 31 5 6 +45 98
3
Carlisle Carlisle
42 26 7 9 +29 85
4
Boreham Wood Boreham Wood
42 24 9 9 +33 81
5
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe
42 22 12 8 +17 78
6
Forest Green Forest Green
42 21 11 10 +24 74
7
Southend Southend
40 19 11 10 +27 68
8
FC Halifax Town FC Halifax Town
42 19 8 15 +6 65
9
Hartlepool Hartlepool A
41 16 13 12 -2 61
10
Tamworth Tamworth
42 16 9 17 -11 57
11
Woking Woking
41 14 13 14 +9 55
12
Wealdstone Wealdstone
41 14 9 18 -8 51
13
Yeovil Town Yeovil Town
42 15 5 22 -13 50
14
Solihull Moors Solihull Moors
41 12 12 17 -4 48
15
Boston United Boston United
41 12 12 17 -10 48
16
Altrincham Altrincham
42 14 6 22 -13 48
17
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd
42 11 14 17 -12 47
18
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town
41 13 7 21 -9 46
19
Gateshead Gateshead
42 12 8 22 -34 44
20
Eastleigh Eastleigh
42 11 10 21 -24 43
21
Brackley Town Brackley Town
42 9 11 22 -32 38
22
Morecambe Morecambe H
42 9 10 23 -25 37
23
Braintree Braintree
42 8 11 23 -31 35
24
Truro City Truro City
42 7 9 26 -30 30

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record