Primeira Liga
April 20, 2026
Moreirense
19:15
VS
Estoril
Predicted score
1-1
35% confidence
View full match details
Monday, April 20 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Moreirense
Rank#7
Played25
Points35
PPG1.4
Goal Diff-4
D
D
L
W
L
Estoril
8#Rank
25Played
34Points
1.36PPG
4Goal Diff
D
L
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.86
0-1
10.1%
9.93
1-0
10.0%
10.01
1-2
8.1%
12.33
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.93
NO
48% · 2.07
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Moreirense
40% · 2.51
Draw
34% · 2.94
Estoril
26% · 3.83
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.15
Under 53% · 1.87
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39
Under 28% · 3.58
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.0
Under 75% · 1.33
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Moreirense
D
D
L
W
L
Estoril
D
L
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Moreirense
Stat
Estoril
1.26
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.27
#7
League Pos.
#8
35 pts
Points
34 pts
1.4
Points / Game
1.36
-4
Goal Diff.
+4
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
3 D
0 W
Moreirense
Draw
Estoril
21
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 6 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
A
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
H
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.