Primeira Liga
May 3, 2026
Moreirense
16:00
VS
Estrela
Predicted score
1-0
40% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Moreirense
Rank#7
Played25
Points35
PPG1.4
Goal Diff-4
D
D
L
W
L
Estrela
12#Rank
25Played
25Points
1.0PPG
-15Goal Diff
D
D
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.9%
5.93
0-0
12.9%
7.76
1-1
12.5%
8.01
2-0
11.0%
9.06
Both Teams To Score
YES
38% · 2.62
NO
62% · 1.62
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Moreirense
43% · 2.3
Draw
31% · 3.27
Estrela
26% · 3.85
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.97
Under 66% · 1.51
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.65
Under 39% · 2.54
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.6
Under 85% · 1.18
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Moreirense
D
D
L
W
L
Estrela
D
D
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Moreirense
Stat
Estrela
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.74
#7
League Pos.
#12
35 pts
Points
25 pts
1.4
Points / Game
1.0
-4
Goal Diff.
-15
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Moreirense
Draw
Estrela
10
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
H
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
A
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.