Primeira Liga Primeira Liga February 21, 2026
Moreirense

Moreirense

03
FT
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

We predicted

0-1 31% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 0–3

We predicted the correct result direction (away win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 31%
Team Context
Moreirense
Rank#6
Played22
Points33
PPG1.5
Goal Diff-1
W L L W L
Sporting CP
2#Rank
22Played
55Points
2.5PPG
44Goal Diff
W D W W W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
18.4%
5.45
0-0
16.8%
5.96
1-1
12.7%
7.88
1-0
11.6%
8.62
Both Teams To Score
YES 33% · 3.01
NO 67% · 1.5
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Moreirense 23% · 4.35
Draw 32% · 3.12
Sporting CP 45% · 2.23
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.77 Under 73% · 1.36
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.88 Under 47% · 2.14
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
89%
Over 11% · 9.43 Under 89% · 1.12

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Moreirense Moreirense
W L L W L
Sporting CP Sporting CP
W D W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Moreirense
Stat
Sporting CP
0.69
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.09
#6
League Pos.
#2
33 pts
Points
55 pts
1.5
Points / Game
2.5
-1
Goal Diff.
+44

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
28 23 4 1 +43 73
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP A
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
27 14 7 6 +27 49
5
Famalicao Famalicao
28 13 7 8 +11 46
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Guimaraes Guimaraes
28 10 5 13 -8 35
9
Moreirense Moreirense H
28 10 5 13 -9 35
10
Alverca Alverca
28 8 8 12 -17 32
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave
28 7 9 12 -19 30
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
28 6 10 12 -14 28
15
Nacional Nacional
28 6 7 15 -8 25
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
17
Tondela Tondela
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record