Non League Premier - Northern Non League Premier - Northern March 28, 2026
Morpeth Town

Morpeth Town

01
FT
Leek Town

Leek Town

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Morpeth Town
Rank#18
Played34
Points36
PPG1.06
Goal Diff-12
W W L D D
Leek Town
14#Rank
34Played
40Points
1.18PPG
-9Goal Diff
L W D L D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.89
1-0
11.4%
8.81
0-1
9.2%
10.92
2-1
8.8%
11.39
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 1.98
NO 50% · 2.02
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Morpeth Town 44% · 2.28
Draw 34% · 2.94
Leek Town 22% · 4.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.19 Under 54% · 1.84
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4 Under 29% · 3.48
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.13 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Morpeth Town Morpeth Town
W W L D D
Leek Town Leek Town
L W D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Morpeth Town
Stat
Leek Town
1.38
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.12
#18
League Pos.
#14
36 pts
Points
40 pts
1.06
Points / Game
1.18
-12
Goal Diff.
-9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
United of Manchester United of Manchester
35 20 8 7 +24 68
2
Hebburn Town Hebburn Town
36 19 10 7 +28 67
3
Hednesford Town Hednesford Town
36 19 10 7 +21 67
4
Rylands Rylands
37 16 13 8 +16 61
5
Stockton Town Stockton Town
35 17 10 8 +14 58
6
Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity
36 15 11 10 +10 56
7
Lancaster City Lancaster City
36 15 9 12 +6 54
8
Cleethorpes Town Cleethorpes Town
36 14 11 11 +12 53
9
Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge
36 14 7 15 +5 49
10
Ashton United Ashton United
36 13 9 14 -7 48
11
Warrington Town Warrington Town
37 12 12 13 -16 48
12
Guiseley AFC Guiseley AFC
37 13 8 16 -6 47
13
Leek Town Leek Town A
36 13 7 16 -7 46
14
Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town
36 13 6 17 -3 45
15
Whitby Town Whitby Town
36 10 11 15 -8 41
16
Workington Workington
36 9 12 15 -14 39
17
Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic
36 9 11 16 -16 38
18
Hyde United Hyde United
36 8 13 15 -9 37
19
Prescot Cables Prescot Cables
37 7 15 15 -12 36
20
Morpeth Town Morpeth Town H
36 10 6 20 -16 36
21
Stocksbridge Park Steels Stocksbridge Park Steels
36 8 11 17 -22 35

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record