Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 March 22, 2026
Móstoles

Móstoles

01
FT
Alcorcón II

Alcorcón II

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Móstoles
Rank#3
Played26
Points48
PPG1.85
Goal Diff13
L W L D D
Alcorcón II
13#Rank
26Played
29Points
1.12PPG
-5Goal Diff
D W D L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.7%
7.87
1-1
12.5%
8.03
2-0
9.3%
10.74
2-1
9.1%
10.95
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.08
NO 52% · 1.92
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Móstoles 43% · 2.33
Draw 30% · 3.35
Alcorcón II 27% · 3.68
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.27 Under 56% · 1.79
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43 Under 30% · 3.34
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.35 Under 77% · 1.3

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Móstoles Móstoles
L W L D D
Alcorcón II Alcorcón II
D W D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Móstoles
Stat
Alcorcón II
1.46
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#3
League Pos.
#13
48 pts
Points
29 pts
1.85
Points / Game
1.12
+13
Goal Diff.
-5

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
A Madrid III A Madrid III
29 15 9 5 +29 54
2
Las Rozas Las Rozas
29 15 8 6 +18 53
3
Leganés II Leganés II
29 14 8 7 +32 50
4
Móstoles Móstoles H
29 14 7 8 +11 49
5
Torrejón Torrejón
29 14 7 8 +8 49
6
Trival Valderas Trival Valderas
29 14 5 10 +8 47
7
Unión Adarve Unión Adarve
29 11 8 10 -3 41
8
SS Reyes II SS Reyes II
29 9 12 8 +5 39
9
Alcobendas Sport Alcobendas Sport
29 11 6 12 -3 39
10
Villaverde-Boetticher Villaverde-Boetticher
29 9 12 8 -4 39
11
Galapagar Galapagar
29 9 12 8 -8 39
12
Pozuelo Alarcón Pozuelo Alarcón
29 9 11 9 +1 38
13
Alcorcón II Alcorcón II A
29 9 9 11 -2 36
14
Carabanchel Carabanchel
29 7 10 12 -4 31
15
Tres Cantos Tres Cantos
29 9 3 17 -20 30
16
Villanueva Pardillo Villanueva Pardillo
29 8 5 16 -14 29
17
AD Parla AD Parla
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Racing Madrid Racing Madrid
29 5 7 17 -28 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record