Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
April 5, 2026
Motril
16:00
VS
Mijas Las Lagunas
Predicted score
1-0
39% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Motril
Rank#1
Played28
Points54
PPG1.93
Goal Diff23
L
D
W
W
W
Mijas Las Lagunas
2#Rank
28Played
54Points
1.93PPG
15Goal Diff
W
L
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.0%
6.27
1-1
12.5%
8.0
0-0
11.7%
8.53
2-0
10.8%
9.23
Both Teams To Score
YES
40% · 2.48
NO
60% · 1.68
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Motril
48% · 2.07
Draw
35% · 2.87
Mijas Las Lagunas
17% · 5.9
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.76
Under 64% · 1.57
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.58
Under 37% · 2.71
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 5.91
Under 83% · 1.2
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Motril
L
D
W
W
W
Mijas Las Lagunas
W
L
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Motril
Stat
Mijas Las Lagunas
1.36
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#1
League Pos.
#2
54 pts
Points
54 pts
1.93
Points / Game
1.93
+23
Goal Diff.
+15
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Motril
H
|
29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | +23 | 55 |
| 2 |
Mijas Las Lagunas
A
|
29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | +15 | 55 |
| 3 |
Arenas Armilla
|
29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +11 | 50 |
| 4 |
Torre del Mar
|
29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +12 | 50 |
| 5 |
Churriana Vega
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 44 |
| 6 |
Marbelli
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +5 | 41 |
| 7 |
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
|
29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 |
Atlético Porcuna
|
29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | +5 | 40 |
| 9 |
Huétor Vega
|
29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | +1 | 40 |
| 10 |
Granada II
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 38 |
| 11 |
UD San Pedro
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 38 |
| 12 |
UD Melilla II
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 35 |
| 13 |
Alhaurino
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 |
Martos
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -7 | 33 |
| 15 |
Mancha Real
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 |
Huétor Tájar
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -4 | 31 |
| 17 |
Torreperogil
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -17 | 27 |
| 18 |
El Palo
|
29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -23 | 23 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.