FKF Premier League
March 22, 2026
Murang'a SEAL
1–1
FT
Mathare United
We predicted
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 22 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Murang'a SEAL
Rank#5
Played24
Points37
PPG1.54
Goal Diff6
D
W
L
L
W
Mathare United
12#Rank
24Played
29Points
1.21PPG
-2Goal Diff
W
L
L
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
7.57
1-0
12.7%
7.87
0-1
10.7%
9.33
0-0
10.3%
9.7
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.18
NO
54% · 1.85
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Murang'a SEAL
42% · 2.36
Draw
35% · 2.85
Mathare United
23% · 4.42
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.52
Under 60% · 1.66
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.51
Under 34% · 2.96
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.13
Under 81% · 1.24
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Murang'a SEAL
D
W
L
L
W
Mathare United
W
L
L
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Murang'a SEAL
Stat
Mathare United
1.23
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.04
#5
League Pos.
#12
37 pts
Points
29 pts
1.54
Points / Game
1.21
+6
Goal Diff.
-2
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
0 W
Murang'a SEAL
Draw
Mathare United
8
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
GOR Mahia
|
26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 2 |
AFC Leopards
|
27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | +18 | 55 |
| 3 |
Homeboyz
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +14 | 45 |
| 4 |
Police
|
26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 43 |
| 5 |
Shabana
|
27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 43 |
| 6 |
KCB
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +0 | 40 |
| 7 |
Nairobi United
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 38 |
| 8 |
Murang'a SEAL
H
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 38 |
| 9 |
Bandari
|
27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | +3 | 38 |
| 10 |
Tusker
|
26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 |
Mara Sugar
|
26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 |
Mathare United
A
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 |
Kariobangi Sharks
|
27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 |
APS Bomet
|
27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 |
Bidco United
|
27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 |
Sofapaka
|
27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | -21 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.