Campionato
March 15, 2026
Murata
0–4
FT
Tre Penne
We predicted
Tre Penne 4+
55% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Tre Penne 4+
|
Actual
0–4
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Tre Penne 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
55%
Team Context
Murata
Rank#16
Played24
Points7
PPG0.29
Goal Diff-45
L
L
L
L
L
Tre Penne
3#Rank
24Played
56Points
2.33PPG
38Goal Diff
W
W
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
Tre Penne 4+
26.3%
0-2
10.1%
9.93
1-2
9.2%
10.85
0-3
9.0%
11.14
Both Teams To Score
YES
56% · 1.79
NO
44% · 2.26
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Murata
6% · 15.72
Draw
29% · 3.43
Tre Penne
64% · 1.55
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45
Under 31% · 3.22
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.15
Under 13% · 7.73
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.12
Under 53% · 1.89
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Murata
L
L
L
L
L
Tre Penne
W
W
W
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Murata
Stat
Tre Penne
0.92
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.67
#16
League Pos.
#3
7 pts
Points
56 pts
0.29
Points / Game
2.33
-45
Goal Diff.
+38
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
4 W
Murata
Draw
Tre Penne
21
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tre Fiori
|
26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | +43 | 63 |
| 2 |
Virtus
|
26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | +39 | 62 |
| 3 |
Tre Penne
A
|
26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | +42 | 60 |
| 4 |
La Fiorita
|
26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | +33 | 52 |
| 5 |
Folgore
|
26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | +27 | 49 |
| 6 |
Domagnano
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 8 | +24 | 42 |
| 7 |
Fiorentino
|
26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 |
Cosmos
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | +8 | 38 |
| 9 |
Juvenes / Dogana
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 |
Libertas
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | -18 | 32 |
| 11 |
San Giovanni
|
26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 |
Pennarossa
|
26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -26 | 24 |
| 13 |
Faetano
|
26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -30 | 19 |
| 14 |
San Marino Academy
|
26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | -30 | 15 |
| 15 |
Cailungo
|
26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | -37 | 10 |
| 16 |
Murata
H
|
26 | 1 | 4 | 21 | -51 | 7 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.