Eerste Divisie
March 22, 2026
MVV
0–5
FT
Willem II
We predicted
Willem II 4+
47% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 22 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Willem II 4+
|
Actual
0–5
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Willem II 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
47%
Team Context
MVV
Rank#16
Played32
Points36
PPG1.13
Goal Diff-22
D
W
D
D
L
Willem II
5#Rank
31Played
50Points
1.61PPG
7Goal Diff
W
D
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
Willem II 4+
21.2%
1-2
9.6%
10.46
0-2
8.1%
12.33
1-1
7.9%
12.66
Both Teams To Score
YES
63% · 1.59
NO
37% · 2.7
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
MVV
14% · 6.97
Draw
29% · 3.44
Willem II
57% · 1.77
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44
Under 31% · 3.26
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.15
Under 13% · 7.86
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.09
Under 52% · 1.92
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
MVV
D
W
D
D
L
Willem II
W
D
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
MVV
Stat
Willem II
1.18
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.42
#16
League Pos.
#5
36 pts
Points
50 pts
1.13
Points / Game
1.61
-22
Goal Diff.
+7
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
3 W
MVV
Draw
Willem II
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ADO Den Haag
|
34 | 26 | 2 | 6 | +44 | 80 |
| 2 |
Cambuur
|
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +28 | 73 |
| 3 |
Willem II
A
|
34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | +11 | 56 |
| 4 |
De Graafschap
|
34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 56 |
| 5 |
Almere City FC
|
34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | +16 | 55 |
| 6 |
Waalwijk
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +8 | 51 |
| 7 |
Roda
|
34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | +6 | 51 |
| 8 |
Jong PSV U21
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | +3 | 50 |
| 9 |
Den Bosch
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 |
FC Eindhoven
|
34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | -10 | 44 |
| 11 |
Dordrecht
|
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 |
VVV Venlo
|
34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 |
Jong Utrecht
|
33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 |
Emmen
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |
Vitesse
|
34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | +2 | 37 |
| 16 |
Jong AZ
|
34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | -7 | 37 |
| 17 |
MVV
H
|
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -29 | 36 |
| 18 |
Helmond Sport
|
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -21 | 34 |
| 19 |
Jong Ajax
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -16 | 32 |
| 20 |
FC OSS
|
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -17 | 32 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.