Primeira Liga Primeira Liga February 28, 2026
Nacional

Nacional

12
FT
SC Braga

SC Braga

We predicted

1-1 28% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Nacional
Rank#14
Played23
Points21
PPG0.91
Goal Diff-7
L L D L W
SC Braga
4#Rank
23Played
42Points
1.83PPG
26Goal Diff
W L W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.2%
8.97
1-2
9.3%
10.8
0-1
8.5%
11.83
SC Braga 4+
8.3%
Both Teams To Score
YES 59% · 1.69
NO 41% · 2.46
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Nacional 31% · 3.27
Draw 24% · 4.16
SC Braga 45% · 2.2
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.75 Under 43% · 2.33
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 4.94
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.88 Under 65% · 1.53

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Nacional Nacional
L L D L W
SC Braga SC Braga
W L W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Nacional
Stat
SC Braga
1.32
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.66
#14
League Pos.
#4
21 pts
Points
42 pts
0.91
Points / Game
1.83
-7
Goal Diff.
+26

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
28 23 4 1 +43 73
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga A
27 14 7 6 +27 49
5
Famalicao Famalicao
28 13 7 8 +11 46
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Guimaraes Guimaraes
28 10 5 13 -8 35
9
Moreirense Moreirense
28 10 5 13 -9 35
10
Alverca Alverca
28 8 8 12 -17 32
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave
28 7 9 12 -19 30
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
28 6 10 12 -14 28
15
Nacional Nacional H
28 6 7 15 -8 25
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
17
Tondela Tondela
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record