Ligue 1
May 16, 2026
Nantes
19:00
VS
Toulouse
Predicted score
0-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, May 16 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Nantes
Rank#17
Played25
Points17
PPG0.68
Goal Diff-20
L
L
W
L
L
Toulouse
12#Rank
25Played
31Points
1.24PPG
4Goal Diff
L
L
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
0-1
14.6%
6.83
0-0
14.1%
7.08
1-1
13.5%
7.42
1-0
13.0%
7.69
Both Teams To Score
YES
39% · 2.58
NO
61% · 1.63
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Nantes
37% · 2.72
Draw
37% · 2.72
Toulouse
26% · 3.78
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.21
Under 69% · 1.45
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72
Under 42% · 2.39
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
86%
Over 14% · 7.4
Under 86% · 1.16
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Nantes
L
L
W
L
L
Toulouse
L
L
D
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Nantes
Stat
Toulouse
0.92
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.04
#17
League Pos.
#12
17 pts
Points
31 pts
0.68
Points / Game
1.24
-20
Goal Diff.
+4
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
3 D
1 W
Nantes
Draw
Toulouse
10
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | +38 | 63 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | +27 | 59 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +11 | 50 |
| 4 |
Marseille
|
28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | +18 | 49 |
| 5 |
Monaco
|
28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | +10 | 49 |
| 6 |
Lyon
|
28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +12 | 48 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +12 | 43 |
| 9 |
Lorient
|
28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
A
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -14 | 23 |
| 17 |
Nantes
H
|
27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -21 | 18 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | -35 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.