Serie A Serie A February 15, 2026
Napoli

Napoli

22
FT
AS Roma

AS Roma

We predicted

1-1 27% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–2

We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Napoli
Rank#3
Played24
Points49
PPG2.04
Goal Diff13
W W L W D
AS Roma
4#Rank
24Played
46Points
1.92PPG
15Goal Diff
W L D W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.3%
7.52
1-0
12.2%
8.21
0-1
11.3%
8.82
0-0
10.4%
9.63
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.18
NO 54% · 1.85
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Napoli 38% · 2.65
Draw 29% · 3.5
AS Roma 34% · 2.97
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.53 Under 61% · 1.65
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.51 Under 34% · 2.95
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.17 Under 81% · 1.24

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Napoli Napoli
W W L W D
AS Roma AS Roma
W L D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Napoli
Stat
AS Roma
1.17
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.09
#3
League Pos.
#4
49 pts
Points
46 pts
2.04
Points / Game
1.92
+13
Goal Diff.
+15

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
3 D
0 W
Napoli
Draw
AS Roma
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Inter Inter
30 22 3 5 +42 69
2
AC Milan AC Milan
30 18 9 3 +24 63
3
Napoli Napoli H
30 19 5 6 +16 62
4
Como Como
30 16 9 5 +31 57
5
Juventus Juventus
30 15 9 6 +23 54
6
AS Roma AS Roma A
30 17 3 10 +17 54
7
Atalanta Atalanta
30 13 11 6 +14 50
8
Lazio Lazio
31 11 11 9 +3 44
9
Bologna Bologna
30 12 6 12 +2 42
10
Sassuolo Sassuolo
31 12 6 13 -3 42
11
Udinese Udinese
30 11 6 13 -7 39
12
Parma Parma
31 8 11 12 -17 35
13
Genoa Genoa
30 8 9 13 -6 33
14
Torino Torino
30 9 6 15 -19 33
15
Fiorentina Fiorentina
31 7 11 13 -8 32
16
Cagliari Cagliari
31 7 9 15 -12 30
17
Cremonese Cremonese
30 6 9 15 -19 27
18
Lecce Lecce
30 7 6 17 -19 27
19
Pisa Pisa
30 2 12 16 -31 18
20
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
31 3 9 19 -31 18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record