Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 March 15, 2026
Navalcarnero

Navalcarnero

21
FT
Elche II

Elche II

We predicted

1-1 34% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Navalcarnero
Rank#11
Played26
Points33
PPG1.27
Goal Diff-3
L W L W D
Elche II
12#Rank
26Played
32Points
1.23PPG
-1Goal Diff
D L W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.2%
8.96
2-1
9.6%
10.4
1-0
9.4%
10.64
Navalcarnero 4+
9.3%
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.75
NO 43% · 2.33
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Navalcarnero 48% · 2.09
Draw 32% · 3.1
Elche II 20% · 5.06
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.8 Under 44% · 2.25
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27 Under 21% · 4.69
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.02 Under 67% · 1.5

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Navalcarnero Navalcarnero
L W L W D
Elche II Elche II
D L W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Navalcarnero
Stat
Elche II
1.73
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.19
#11
League Pos.
#12
33 pts
Points
32 pts
1.27
Points / Game
1.23
-3
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Navalcarnero
Draw
Elche II
3 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
SS Reyes SS Reyes
29 18 6 5 +21 60
2
Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda
29 16 9 4 +22 57
3
Getafe II Getafe II
29 15 8 6 +21 53
4
Conquense Conquense
29 13 11 5 +11 50
5
CD Coria CD Coria
29 12 9 8 +9 45
6
Tenerife II Tenerife II
29 13 5 11 +2 44
7
Orihuela Orihuela
29 11 9 9 +5 42
8
RSD Alcalá RSD Alcalá
29 11 8 10 -2 41
9
Las Palmas II Las Palmas II
29 10 8 11 +1 38
10
Elche II Elche II A
30 9 11 10 +0 38
11
Intercity Intercity
29 9 10 10 -1 37
12
Navalcarnero Navalcarnero H
29 9 9 11 -4 36
13
Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada
29 8 9 12 -5 33
14
Real Madrid III Real Madrid III
29 8 7 14 -6 31
15
Quintanar del Rey Quintanar del Rey
29 8 5 16 -9 29
16
Socuéllamos Socuéllamos
29 6 9 14 -18 27
17
Colonia Moscardó Colonia Moscardó
29 7 6 16 -20 27
18
Rayo Vallecano II Rayo Vallecano II
30 8 3 19 -27 27

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record