Liga MX Liga MX April 4, 2026
Necaxa

Necaxa

21
FT
Mazatlán

Mazatlán

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Necaxa
Rank#16
Played10
Points9
PPG0.9
Goal Diff-5
L L L L W
Mazatlán
14#Rank
10Played
10Points
1.0PPG
-7Goal Diff
W L W D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
8.06
0-1
9.5%
10.56
1-0
9.3%
10.81
1-2
8.3%
12.02
Both Teams To Score
YES 54% · 1.85
NO 46% · 2.17
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Necaxa 40% · 2.52
Draw 34% · 2.97
Mazatlán 27% · 3.76
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.02 Under 51% · 1.98
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35 Under 26% · 3.88
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.64 Under 73% · 1.38

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Necaxa Necaxa
L L L L W
Mazatlán Mazatlán
W L W D W

Key Stats Comparison

Necaxa
Stat
Mazatlán
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.34
#16
League Pos.
#14
9 pts
Points
10 pts
0.9
Points / Game
1.0
-5
Goal Diff.
-7

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
2 D
1 W
Necaxa
Draw
Mazatlán
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
12 10 0 2 +14 30
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
13 8 3 2 +10 27
3
Toluca Toluca
13 7 5 1 +11 26
4
Pachuca Pachuca
13 7 4 2 +6 25
5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12 6 5 1 +9 23
6
Atlas Atlas
13 5 3 5 -3 18
7
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
13 5 2 6 +3 17
8
Club America Club America
12 5 2 5 +2 17
9
Necaxa Necaxa H
13 5 1 7 -1 16
10
Leon Leon
13 5 1 7 -10 16
11
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
13 3 6 4 -1 15
12
FC Juarez FC Juarez
12 4 3 5 -2 15
13
Monterrey Monterrey
13 4 2 7 +2 14
14
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
13 4 2 7 -2 14
15
Puebla Puebla
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Mazatlán Mazatlán A
13 3 2 8 -10 11
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
12 2 2 8 -16 8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record