Premier League Premier League March 15, 2026
Negelle Arsi

Negelle Arsi

02
FT
Mebrat Hayl

Mebrat Hayl

We predicted

0-0 43% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 0–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Negelle Arsi
Rank#3
Played23
Points38
PPG1.65
Goal Diff8
D D L D W
Mebrat Hayl
6#Rank
23Played
34Points
1.48PPG
4Goal Diff
W W L D D
Most Likely Scores
0-0
22.5%
4.45
1-0
18.1%
5.53
0-1
15.5%
6.47
1-1
12.5%
8.03
Both Teams To Score
YES 28% · 3.63
NO 72% · 1.38
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Negelle Arsi 39% · 2.56
Draw 40% · 2.5
Mebrat Hayl 21% · 4.78
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.28 Under 81% · 1.23
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.27 Under 56% · 1.79
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
94%
Over 6% · 15.43 Under 94% · 1.07

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
D D L D W
Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl
W W L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Negelle Arsi
Stat
Mebrat Hayl
0.81
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.69
#3
League Pos.
#6
38 pts
Points
34 pts
1.65
Points / Game
1.48
+8
Goal Diff.
+4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
1 D
1 W
Negelle Arsi
Draw
Mebrat Hayl
2 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna
25 13 9 3 +17 48
2
Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema
24 11 7 6 +10 40
3
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi H
24 10 8 6 +6 38
4
Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl A
25 9 11 5 +6 38
5
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
25 9 10 6 +10 37
6
Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema
25 8 12 5 +2 36
7
Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna
24 10 5 9 +0 35
8
Adama Kenema Adama Kenema
24 7 12 5 -1 33
9
Bahardar Bahardar
25 6 14 5 +0 32
10
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank
25 7 10 8 +0 31
11
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema
25 6 12 7 -1 30
12
Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena
25 7 8 10 -6 29
13
Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema
25 6 11 8 -8 29
14
Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha
25 5 13 7 +0 28
15
Ethiopian Medhin Ethiopian Medhin
25 6 10 9 +0 28
16
Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
24 7 7 10 -3 28
17
Suhul Shire Suhul Shire
25 6 10 9 -3 28
18
Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni
24 6 10 8 -6 28
19
Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema
25 4 11 10 -11 23
20
Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema
25 4 10 11 -12 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record