A-League A-League January 23, 2026
Newcastle Jets

Newcastle Jets

41
FT
Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

We predicted

1-1 21% confidence
View full match details Friday, January 23 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 4–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 21%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.6%
9.46
Newcastle Jets 4+
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
10.7
1-0
7.8%
12.84
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.63
NO 38% · 2.6
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Newcastle Jets 47% · 2.12
Draw 23% · 4.29
Wellington Phoenix 30% · 3.38
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66 Under 40% · 2.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.5
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64 Under 62% · 1.61

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Newcastle Jets
Stat
Wellington Phoenix
1.77
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.36

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets H
23 14 1 8 +12 43
2
Auckland Auckland
23 11 7 5 +14 40
3
Adelaide United Adelaide United
23 10 6 7 +7 36
4
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
23 10 5 8 +9 35
5
Sydney Sydney
23 10 4 9 +6 34
6
Macarthur Macarthur
23 8 7 8 -7 31
7
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix A
23 8 6 9 -7 30
8
Melbourne City Melbourne City
22 7 8 7 -3 29
9
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
22 7 7 8 -3 28
10
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
23 6 7 10 -7 25
11
Perth Glory Perth Glory
23 6 6 11 -10 24
12
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers
23 5 6 12 -11 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record