Premier League Premier League February 28, 2026
Newcastle

Newcastle

23
FT
Everton

Everton

We predicted

Newcastle 4+ 24% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Newcastle 4+
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 24%
Team Context
Newcastle
Rank#11
Played27
Points36
PPG1.33
Goal Diff-1
L W L L L
Everton
9#Rank
27Played
37Points
1.37PPG
-2Goal Diff
L L W D D
Most Likely Scores
Newcastle 4+
11.3%
1-1
10.5%
9.51
2-1
9.8%
10.2
1-0
8.9%
11.22
Both Teams To Score
YES 59% · 1.71
NO 41% · 2.41
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Newcastle 53% · 1.88
Draw 23% · 4.4
Everton 24% · 4.14
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.71 Under 41% · 2.41
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.24 Under 19% · 5.17
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.78 Under 64% · 1.56

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Newcastle Newcastle
L W L L L
Everton Everton
L L W D D

Key Stats Comparison

Newcastle
Stat
Everton
1.86
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.18
#11
League Pos.
#9
36 pts
Points
37 pts
1.33
Points / Game
1.37
-1
Goal Diff.
-2

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton A
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle H
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record