ScoresFooty
UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League February 24, 2026
Newcastle

Newcastle

3–2
FT
Qarabag

Qarabag

We predicted

Newcastle 4+ 38% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, February 24 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Newcastle 4+
|
Actual 3–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Newcastle
Rank#12
Played8
Points14
PPG1.75
Goal Diff10
D W D L W
Qarabag
22#Rank
8Played
10Points
1.25PPG
-8Goal Diff
L W L L D
Most Likely Scores
Newcastle 4+
24.0%
2-0
13.1%
7.65
3-0
11.1%
9.02
1-0
10.3%
9.73
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.2
NO 55% · 1.83
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Newcastle 77% · 1.29
Draw 15% · 6.8
Qarabag 8% · 12.66
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61 Under 38% · 2.63
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.21 Under 17% · 5.86
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.54 Under 61% · 1.65
View Full Predictions

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Newcastle Newcastle
D W D L W
Qarabag Qarabag
L W L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Newcastle
Stat
Qarabag
2.54
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.68
#12
League Pos.
#22
14 pts
Points
10 pts
1.75
Points / Game
1.25
+10
Goal Diff.
-8

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
0 W
Newcastle
Draw
Qarabag
12 total goals
2 meetings

Last 2 Meetings

UEFA Champions League 24 Feb
UEFA Champions League 18 Feb

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record