Iraqi League Iraqi League March 19, 2026
Newroz

Newroz

21
FT
Al-Qasim

Al-Qasim

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Thursday, March 19 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Newroz
Rank#12
Played22
Points28
PPG1.27
Goal Diff-3
W L W W L
Al-Qasim
20#Rank
22Played
2Points
0.09PPG
-44Goal Diff
L L L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.3%
8.16
Newroz 4+
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
8.78
1-1
10.6%
9.44
Both Teams To Score
YES 49% · 2.05
NO 51% · 1.95
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Newroz 54% · 1.84
Draw 31% · 3.19
Al-Qasim 14% · 7.03
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.96 Under 49% · 2.04
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33 Under 25% · 4.07
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.47 Under 71% · 1.41

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Newroz Newroz
W L W W L
Al-Qasim Al-Qasim
L L L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Newroz
Stat
Al-Qasim
1.86
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#12
League Pos.
#20
28 pts
Points
2 pts
1.27
Points / Game
0.09
-3
Goal Diff.
-44

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
1 W
Newroz
Draw
Al-Qasim
9 total goals
4 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya
26 18 6 2 +22 60
2
Al Shorta Al Shorta
26 17 5 4 +26 56
3
Erbil Erbil
26 15 7 4 +14 52
4
Al Talaba Al Talaba
26 14 6 6 +13 48
5
Al Zawra'a Al Zawra'a
26 12 11 3 +12 47
6
Al-Karma Al-Karma
26 12 8 6 +15 44
7
Al Karkh Al Karkh
26 12 8 6 +10 44
8
Zakho Zakho
26 12 7 7 +8 43
9
Newroz Newroz H
26 12 2 12 +1 38
10
Duhok Duhok
26 10 7 9 +3 37
11
Naft Naft
26 8 10 8 +3 34
12
Diyala Diyala
26 8 9 9 +4 33
13
Gharraf Gharraf
26 9 6 11 -2 33
14
Mosul Mosul
26 9 6 11 -7 33
15
Baghdad Baghdad
26 8 3 15 -12 27
16
Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra
26 6 8 12 -6 26
17
Naft Maysan Naft Maysan
26 6 7 13 -14 25
18
Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa
26 7 3 16 -8 24
19
Al Najaf Al Najaf
26 3 3 20 -28 12
20
Al-Qasim Al-Qasim A
26 0 2 24 -54 2

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record