Ligue 1 Ligue 1 May 16, 2026
Nice

Nice

19:00
VS
Metz

Metz

Predicted score

Nice 4+ 44% confidence
View full match details Saturday, May 16 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 44%
Team Context
Nice
Rank#15
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-18
L L D L D
Metz
18#Rank
25Played
13Points
0.52PPG
-34Goal Diff
L L L L D
Most Likely Scores
Nice 4+
22.3%
2-0
12.0%
8.34
3-0
9.8%
10.17
1-0
9.7%
10.27
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.02
NO 50% · 1.98
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Nice 62% · 1.6
Draw 28% · 3.61
Metz 10% · 10.01
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.6 Under 38% · 2.66
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2 Under 17% · 5.95
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.51 Under 60% · 1.66

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Nice Nice
L L D L D
Metz Metz
L L L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Nice
Stat
Metz
2.46
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#15
League Pos.
#18
24 pts
Points
13 pts
0.96
Points / Game
0.52
-18
Goal Diff.
-34

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
0 D
2 W
Nice
Draw
Metz
8 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
27 20 3 4 +38 63
2
Lens Lens
28 19 2 7 +27 59
3
Lille Lille
28 15 5 8 +11 50
4
Marseille Marseille
27 15 4 8 +19 49
5
Lyon Lyon
27 14 5 8 +12 47
6
Rennes Rennes
28 13 8 7 +7 47
7
Monaco Monaco
27 14 4 9 +9 46
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
28 12 7 9 +12 43
9
Toulouse Toulouse
28 10 7 11 +4 37
10
Lorient Lorient
27 9 10 8 -4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
28 10 6 12 -6 36
12
Angers Angers
27 9 5 13 -13 32
13
Paris FC Paris FC
27 7 10 10 -11 31
14
Le Havre Le Havre
27 6 9 12 -13 27
15
Nice Nice H
28 7 6 15 -22 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
27 5 7 15 -14 22
17
Nantes Nantes
26 4 5 17 -21 17
18
Metz Metz A
27 3 5 19 -35 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record