HNL HNL April 3, 2026
NK Varazdin

NK Varazdin

11
FT
HNK Gorica

HNK Gorica

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Friday, April 3 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
NK Varazdin
Rank#4
Played27
Points37
PPG1.37
Goal Diff-4
L W D D L
HNK Gorica
7#Rank
27Played
31Points
1.15PPG
-5Goal Diff
W D D L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.6%
7.33
2-0
12.0%
8.31
1-1
10.9%
9.18
NK Varazdin 4+
10.0%
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.2
NO 54% · 1.84
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
NK Varazdin 40% · 2.49
Draw 32% · 3.14
HNK Gorica 28% · 3.57
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.12 Under 53% · 1.89
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38 Under 28% · 3.63
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.94 Under 75% · 1.34

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
L W D D L
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica
W D D L W

Key Stats Comparison

NK Varazdin
Stat
HNK Gorica
1.76
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.8
#4
League Pos.
#7
37 pts
Points
31 pts
1.37
Points / Game
1.15
-4
Goal Diff.
-5

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
2 D
1 W
NK Varazdin
Draw
HNK Gorica
15 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
28 21 3 4 +53 66
2
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
27 16 5 6 +20 53
3
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
28 11 8 9 +8 41
4
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin H
28 10 8 10 -4 38
5
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
27 10 6 11 -4 36
6
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo
28 9 9 10 -7 36
7
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica A
28 8 8 12 -5 32
8
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
27 7 9 11 -14 30
9
NK Osijek NK Osijek
28 5 10 13 -21 25
10
Vukovar Vukovar
27 4 8 15 -26 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record