League One League One February 7, 2026
Northampton

Northampton

31
FT
Stevenage

Stevenage

We predicted

1-0 28% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Northampton
Rank#23
Played29
Points30
PPG1.03
Goal Diff-12
D L L L L
Stevenage
8#Rank
28Played
42Points
1.5PPG
3Goal Diff
L W D D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.2%
6.6
1-1
13.3%
7.54
0-0
13.1%
7.64
0-1
11.5%
8.73
Both Teams To Score
YES 40% · 2.5
NO 60% · 1.67
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Northampton 42% · 2.37
Draw 30% · 3.32
Stevenage 28% · 3.62
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.01 Under 67% · 1.5
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66 Under 40% · 2.52
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.72 Under 85% · 1.17

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Northampton Northampton
D L L L L
Stevenage Stevenage
L W D D L

Key Stats Comparison

Northampton
Stat
Stevenage
1.16
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.88
#23
League Pos.
#8
30 pts
Points
42 pts
1.03
Points / Game
1.5
-12
Goal Diff.
+3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
3 W
Northampton
Draw
Stevenage
11 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lincoln Lincoln
40 26 9 5 +41 87
2
Cardiff Cardiff
39 23 8 8 +32 77
3
Bolton Bolton
40 18 15 7 +17 69
4
Bradford Bradford
40 20 8 12 +6 68
5
Stockport County Stockport County
39 19 9 11 +9 66
6
Reading Reading
41 16 14 11 +9 62
7
Stevenage Stevenage A
39 17 10 12 +3 61
8
Wycombe Wycombe
41 16 11 14 +13 59
9
Plymouth Plymouth
40 18 5 17 +5 59
10
Huddersfield Huddersfield
40 16 10 14 +8 58
11
Luton Luton
40 16 10 14 +4 58
12
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
38 13 13 12 +8 52
13
Barnsley Barnsley
38 13 12 13 -1 51
14
Peterborough Peterborough
39 15 5 19 +4 50
15
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
40 14 8 18 -7 50
16
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
40 14 8 18 -10 50
17
Doncaster Doncaster
40 14 8 18 -19 50
18
Blackpool Blackpool
41 13 9 19 -15 48
19
Burton Albion Burton Albion
41 12 11 18 -11 47
20
Wigan Wigan
40 11 13 16 -13 46
21
Exeter City Exeter City
41 11 10 20 -11 43
22
Rotherham Rotherham
39 9 10 20 -23 37
23
Northampton Northampton H
40 9 8 23 -24 35
24
Port Vale Port Vale
38 7 10 21 -25 31

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record