League Two League Two March 14, 2026
Notts County

Notts County

23
FT
Chesterfield

Chesterfield

We predicted

Notts County 4+ 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Notts County 4+
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Notts County
Rank#4
Played35
Points64
PPG1.83
Goal Diff20
W L W L D
Chesterfield
8#Rank
36Played
56Points
1.56PPG
10Goal Diff
L W L D W
Most Likely Scores
Notts County 4+
17.3%
2-0
12.3%
8.1
1-0
11.2%
8.9
2-1
9.7%
10.34
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.07
NO 52% · 1.93
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Notts County 56% · 1.8
Draw 25% · 3.98
Chesterfield 19% · 5.2
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76 Under 43% · 2.32
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.26 Under 20% · 4.91
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.91 Under 66% · 1.52

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Notts County Notts County
W L W L D
Chesterfield Chesterfield
L W L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Notts County
Stat
Chesterfield
2.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#4
League Pos.
#8
64 pts
Points
56 pts
1.83
Points / Game
1.56
+20
Goal Diff.
+10

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bromley Bromley
41 22 14 5 +25 80
2
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
41 21 12 8 +35 75
3
Cambridge United Cambridge United
40 20 13 7 +27 73
4
Notts County Notts County H
41 22 7 12 +24 73
5
Salford City Salford City
41 23 4 14 +8 73
6
Swindon Town Swindon Town
41 21 8 12 +18 71
7
Chesterfield Chesterfield A
40 17 14 9 +10 65
8
Oldham Oldham
40 17 13 10 +17 64
9
Crewe Crewe
41 18 9 14 +10 63
10
Grimsby Grimsby
39 17 11 11 +14 62
11
Walsall Walsall
41 17 11 13 +7 62
12
Barnet Barnet
41 16 13 12 +7 61
13
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
41 14 13 14 +1 55
14
Colchester Colchester
40 14 12 14 +7 54
15
Accrington ST Accrington ST
40 14 9 17 -4 51
16
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
41 15 4 22 -17 49
17
Gillingham Gillingham
40 11 13 16 -14 46
18
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury
41 12 8 21 -26 44
19
Cheltenham Cheltenham
39 11 9 19 -23 42
20
Crawley Town Crawley Town
41 8 13 20 -20 37
21
Tranmere Tranmere
40 9 9 22 -22 36
22
Newport County Newport County
41 9 7 25 -29 34
23
Barrow Barrow
40 8 9 23 -26 33
24
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
41 8 9 24 -29 33

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record