Super League Super League March 21, 2026
Nzoia Sugar

Nzoia Sugar

00
FT
Mwatate United

Mwatate United

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Nzoia Sugar
Rank#12
Played24
Points33
PPG1.38
Goal Diff6
L W D W L
Mwatate United
18#Rank
24Played
18Points
0.75PPG
-21Goal Diff
L L W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.7%
6.0
2-0
12.4%
8.05
1-1
11.7%
8.56
0-0
11.2%
8.95
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.56
NO 61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Nzoia Sugar 52% · 1.93
Draw 34% · 2.96
Mwatate United 15% · 6.89
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.67 Under 63% · 1.6
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.55 Under 36% · 2.8
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.61 Under 82% · 1.22

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Nzoia Sugar Nzoia Sugar
L W D W L
Mwatate United Mwatate United
L L W L D

Key Stats Comparison

Nzoia Sugar
Stat
Mwatate United
1.49
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.7
#12
League Pos.
#18
33 pts
Points
18 pts
1.38
Points / Game
0.75
+6
Goal Diff.
-21

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
2 D
0 W
Nzoia Sugar
Draw
Mwatate United
4 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite
27 19 1 7 +20 58
2
Equity Bank Equity Bank
27 15 7 5 +13 52
3
Migori Youth Migori Youth
26 16 4 6 +15 52
4
3K 3K
27 15 5 7 +23 50
5
MOFA MOFA
26 13 9 4 +18 48
6
Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco
26 12 7 7 +17 43
7
Kibera Black Stars Kibera Black Stars
27 13 3 11 +0 42
8
Naivas Naivas
27 11 8 8 +5 41
9
Soy United Soy United
27 11 6 10 +5 39
10
Talanta Talanta
27 10 7 10 +3 37
11
Nzoia Sugar Nzoia Sugar H
27 8 12 7 +4 36
12
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
27 8 10 9 -1 34
13
Gucha Stars Gucha Stars
27 9 5 13 -3 32
14
Luanda Villa Luanda Villa
26 8 4 14 -16 28
15
Kabati Youth FC Kabati Youth FC
26 7 6 13 -16 27
16
Kisumu All Stars Kisumu All Stars
27 7 6 14 -18 27
17
Darajani Gogo Darajani Gogo
26 6 6 14 -13 24
18
Mwatate United Mwatate United A
27 5 6 16 -24 21
19
Vihiga United FC Vihiga United FC
27 6 7 14 -18 19
20
MCF MCF
25 5 5 15 -14 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record