Second League
March 21, 2026
Ohrid
4–0
FT
Vardar Negotino
We predicted
Ohrid 4+
67% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Ohrid 4+
|
Actual
4–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Ohrid 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
67%
Team Context
Ohrid
Rank#2
Played20
Points46
PPG2.3
Goal Diff40
W
W
L
D
W
Vardar Negotino
12#Rank
20Played
15Points
0.75PPG
-34Goal Diff
W
L
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Ohrid 4+
50.3%
3-1
8.1%
12.35
3-0
7.7%
12.99
2-1
6.1%
16.37
Both Teams To Score
YES
64% · 1.57
NO
36% · 2.75
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Ohrid
71% · 1.41
Draw
25% · 3.94
Vardar Negotino
4% · 28.57
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.16
Under 14% · 7.29
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
96%
Over 96% · 1.05
Under 4% · 22.57
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41
Under 29% · 3.42
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Ohrid
W
W
L
D
W
Vardar Negotino
W
L
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Ohrid
Stat
Vardar Negotino
3.98
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.05
#2
League Pos.
#12
46 pts
Points
15 pts
2.3
Points / Game
0.75
+40
Goal Diff.
-34
Head to Head
Full H2H record5 W
0 D
0 W
Ohrid
Draw
Vardar Negotino
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohrid
H
|
23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | +46 | 52 |
| 2 |
Bregalnica Štip
|
23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | +35 | 52 |
| 3 |
Shkëndija Haraçinë
|
23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | +29 | 52 |
| 4 |
Skopje
|
23 | 15 | 2 | 5 | +23 | 47 |
| 5 |
Belasica
|
23 | 14 | 3 | 7 | +26 | 45 |
| 6 |
Osogovo
|
23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | +18 | 43 |
| 7 |
Detonit Plachkovica
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +25 | 41 |
| 8 |
Novaci
|
23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | +17 | 40 |
| 9 |
Kozuv Gevgelija
|
23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | +11 | 32 |
| 10 |
Teteks
|
23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | +2 | 30 |
| 11 |
Sasa
|
23 | 7 | 7 | 7 | +2 | 28 |
| 12 |
Vardar Negotino
A
|
23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -39 | 18 |
| 13 |
Pobeda
|
23 | 4 | 2 | 18 | -61 | 14 |
| 14 |
FK Prespa Resen
|
23 | 4 | 0 | 19 | -32 | 12 |
| 15 |
Sloga Vinica
|
23 | 3 | 2 | 18 | -39 | 11 |
| 16 |
Golemo Konjari
|
23 | 2 | 1 | 20 | -72 | 7 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.