Liga MX Liga MX March 4, 2026
Pachuca

Pachuca

21
FT
Necaxa

Necaxa

We predicted

1-0 35% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Pachuca
Rank#5
Played8
Points14
PPG1.75
Goal Diff3
L W W W D
Necaxa
12#Rank
8Played
9Points
1.13PPG
-3Goal Diff
L L W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
23.2%
4.32
0-0
19.9%
5.02
2-0
13.5%
7.43
1-1
10.4%
9.58
Both Teams To Score
YES 25% · 4.01
NO 75% · 1.33
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Pachuca 50% · 1.99
Draw 37% · 2.7
Necaxa 13% · 7.94
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.55 Under 78% · 1.28
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.09 Under 52% · 1.92
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
92%
Over 8% · 12.44 Under 92% · 1.09

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Pachuca Pachuca
L W W W D
Necaxa Necaxa
L L W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Pachuca
Stat
Necaxa
1.16
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.45
#5
League Pos.
#12
14 pts
Points
9 pts
1.75
Points / Game
1.13
+3
Goal Diff.
-3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
5 W
0 D
0 W
Pachuca
Draw
Necaxa
23 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
12 10 0 2 +14 30
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
13 8 3 2 +10 27
3
Toluca Toluca
13 7 5 1 +11 26
4
Pachuca Pachuca H
13 7 4 2 +6 25
5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12 6 5 1 +9 23
6
Club America Club America
13 5 3 5 +2 18
7
Atlas Atlas
13 5 3 5 -4 18
8
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
13 5 2 6 +3 17
9
Necaxa Necaxa A
13 5 1 7 -1 16
10
Leon Leon
13 5 1 7 -9 16
11
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
13 3 6 4 -1 15
12
FC Juarez FC Juarez
12 4 3 5 -2 15
13
Monterrey Monterrey
13 4 2 7 +2 14
14
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
13 4 2 7 -2 14
15
Puebla Puebla
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Mazatlán Mazatlán
13 3 2 8 -10 11
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
13 2 3 8 -16 9

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record