Liga MX
March 22, 2026
Pachuca
1–1
FT
Toluca
We predicted
0-0
45% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 22 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
0-0
|
Actual
1–1
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
45%
Team Context
Pachuca
Rank#4
Played10
Points20
PPG2.0
Goal Diff5
W
W
L
W
W
Toluca
2#Rank
10Played
24Points
2.4PPG
12Goal Diff
W
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
21.7%
4.62
0-1
18.4%
5.43
1-0
14.7%
6.8
1-1
12.5%
7.99
Both Teams To Score
YES
28% · 3.54
NO
72% · 1.39
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Pachuca
20% · 4.96
Draw
40% · 2.52
Toluca
40% · 2.49
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.04
Under 80% · 1.25
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.21
Under 55% · 1.83
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
93%
Over 7% · 14.41
Under 93% · 1.07
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Pachuca
W
W
L
W
W
Toluca
W
W
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Pachuca
Stat
Toluca
0.68
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.85
#4
League Pos.
#2
20 pts
Points
24 pts
2.0
Points / Game
2.4
+5
Goal Diff.
+12
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
3 D
2 W
Pachuca
Draw
Toluca
20
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | +14 | 30 |
| 2 |
Cruz Azul
|
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |
Toluca
A
|
13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |
Pachuca
H
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 25 |
| 5 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
|
12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 6 |
Atlas
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 |
Tigres UANL
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |
Club America
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |
Necaxa
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |
Leon
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 |
Club Tijuana
|
13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 |
FC Juarez
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 |
Monterrey
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | +2 | 14 |
| 14 |
Atletico San Luis
|
13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 |
Puebla
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 |
Club Queretaro
|
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 |
Mazatlán
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 |
Santos Laguna
|
12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.